Goldman Sachs has significantly reduced its U.S. recession probability outlook for the next 12 months, from 35% to just 30%. This revision suggests a more optimistic economic landscape, […]
Kalshi Predicts Recession Risk Shrinks: U.S. Odds Now Stand at 28%
Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated platform for predicting significant events like US recession probabilities, has significantly lowered its forecast for an economic downturn. Their June update shows the recession probability […]
Polymarket Cuts Recession Probability for U.S. in 2025
Polymarket has revised its recession probability forecast for the US in 2025, dropping the estimate from 66% to just 39%. This significant shift reflects a change in market […]