In a time marked by global tension, Donald Trump has unexpectedly surged as a frontrunner for the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize. Online prediction platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have highlighted his potential victory. This marks a novel development driven by geopolitical dynamics and fueled by crypto communities’ interest. While these odds reflect speculative bets rather than concrete probabilities, they raise questions about Trump’s international standing. The betting platforms’ data reveals that he ranks second, behind Yulia Navalnaya, with 11% and 13%, respectively. Kalshi showcases a probability of 13% for Trump compared to 25% for Navalnaya. This unexpected rise has sparked media debate, leading Trump to become an unlikely candidate in this traditionally non-aligned sector.