The probability of a US economic downturn by 2025 has risen to 62%, according to recent projections. This increase is attributed to the escalating trade tensions between the US and China, as indicated by increased tariffs on Chinese imports announced by President Trump in April 2025. Global markets have been affected by this news, with equities experiencing a downturn and cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin also showing volatility. 62% of experts predict a recession, potentially disrupting global economic stability and impacting the value of investments like stocks and cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin. The US-China trade conflict has intensified, triggering concern for global financial markets. President Trump’s new tariffs are seen as part of broader trade disputes between the two countries, with China retaliating by imposing its own tariffs on US goods. This latest development marks a significant escalation in tensions and highlights the potential for economic repercussions.