Polymarket has lowered its prediction of a US economic recession in 2025, adjusting the probability to 26%. This reduction reflects real-time sentiment captured within their prediction market platform. The prediction’s drop hints at easing economic concerns, impacting investor decisions. While the adjusted forecast signals optimism among users, immediate market reactions have been minimal with only slight capital flow. 26% indicates a decrease in recession likelihood which is based on data from Polymarket. It’s important to note that the platform’s decentralized nature and focus on prediction rather than direct market manipulation makes it a valuable tool for gauging public sentiment on financial events. Founded by Shayne Coplan in 2020, Polymarket specializes in offering an alternative approach to macroeconomic forecasting using prediction markets. The latest probability adjustment aligns with a shift in participants’ outlook regarding the US economy.