Bayesian Analysis Suggests Moderate Bear Market Risk in Late 2025

A recent study using Bayesian probability analysis suggests a moderate risk of a bear market in the fourth quarter of 2025, according to PANews. The analysis considers historical data, with fewer than four full cycles observed since 2025 began. This approach suggests that the fourth quarter of 2025 may resemble the fourth quarter of 2019, offering a more insightful perspective than traditional cycle predictions.