Polymarket: 32% Chance U.S. Government Shutdown Extends Past Mid-November

A recent prediction by Polymarket highlights growing skepticism around a swift resolution of the ongoing U.S. government shutdown. The platform’s data suggests only a 20% chance for an end to the standoff between November 4th and 7th. Probability slightly increases to 33% for a resolution from November 8th to 11th, while 16% anticipate a closure between November 12th and 15th. The most likely prediction rests at a staggering 32%, indicating a significant probability of the shutdown continuing beyond November 16th.