A popular theory suggests the cryptocurrency market follows a four-year cycle. This theory ties into Bitcoin’s halving events, where block rewards are reduced approximately every four years. Historically, these halvings have been followed by a bullish run that peaks around 12 to 18 months after the event, leading to significant corrections afterwards. Applying this pattern suggests Q4 2025 could be a potential market top. Experts believe those who follow this cycle closely should consider taking profits before a possible bear market.
However, past cycles may not fully predict future performance. Factors such as institutional participation, macroeconomic influences, and ETF flows could significantly impact the crypto market in ways we haven’t seen before.