Will Altcoins Take Over? Examining Bitcoin Dominance for Clues

Bitcoin dominance above 60% could signal the start of a potential altcoin surge, potentially peaking in mid-November 2025. This trend, reminiscent of past patterns observed during major altcoin seasons in 2017 and 2021, has sparked interest from analysts and investors alike. Recent tweets by Ash Crypto (@Ashcryptoreal) suggest that an ‘altseason’ may be on the horizon, where alternative cryptocurrencies outpace Bitcoin. 60% is currently Bitcoin dominance’s point of resistance, hinting at a potential peak before altcoins take charge. 2017 and 2021 saw similar events occur, with Bitcoin’s dominance shifting post-peak to fuel the rise of altcoins. This time around, Ash predicts an altseason will commence in early 2026, potentially fueled by market trends from September through December. The accompanying chart shows historical patterns related to Bitcoin dominance cycles, marking sharp declines after major 2017 and 2021 altseasons. A key factor in this prediction is a possible increase in Bitcoin price in Q4, which historically has been followed by an increase in Altcoin prices as well. TradingView’s observations support Ash’s analysis, while the Altcoin Season Index further solidifies his claim. A 2020 study using the NARDL model confirms the asymmetric impact of Bitcoin dominance shifts on altcoins: a drop in BTC price often fuels greater gains in other cryptocurrencies, a dynamic that Ash expects to repeat. Skeptics have raised concerns about timing and the accuracy of past predictions, however, an increasing buzz on X regarding miners’ behavior and Pi Cycle indicators point towards a market shift. For investors, patience may be key as Bitcoin dominance continues its trajectory. A potential break in dominance could open doors for significant altcoin gains. Notably, XRP is expected to benefit from such a scenario