Political speculation surrounding the pardoning of Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) has ignited a surge in odds for Sam Bankman-Fried’s potential pardon, according to betting platform Polymarket. This dynamic follows President Trump’s recent pardon of CZ, raising questions about the long-term viability of such speculation and its impact on the crypto market. While market activity is largely limited, experts offer varying perspectives. Some point to the stark differences in legal cases for both individuals, highlighting a potential disconnect between political decisions and real-world probability. However, others express skepticism regarding the odds’ reflection of actual outcomes. The events further emphasize how political developments influence financial markets.