Recent weeks have seen Bitcoin experience a decrease in price, losing roughly $15,000 since its peak. Despite this dip, analysts predict a major surge in the cryptocurrency market during the fall of 2025. Historical data suggests a record-breaking rally is likely on the horizon.
Analyzing long-term holding trends of Bitcoin, CryptoQuant found that past cycles (phases 1 and 2) experienced sharp price increases following pronounced peaks. The current phase, however, shows a gradual but steady upward trend with prolonged cycle length. This pattern is attributed to factors like the introduction of spot ETFs, increasing institutional adoption, and even nation-level engagement with Bitcoin.
An interesting observation is that in-flows into altcoins often coincide with pauses in broader market momentum, something observed repeatedly. Unlike 2023-2024 where Bitcoin dominated attention, capital has been increasingly shifting towards altcoins as diversification continues.
Looking forward, a rate cut expected in September and the potential approval of spot ETFs for altcoins in October point to favorable conditions for renewed growth. From a cycle perspective, the current consolidation phase may be a precursor to a stronger uptrend in late 2025. In fact, CryptoQuant believes that any future dips could become valuable entry points for investors.
Crypto analyst CryptoBirb further supports this prediction, stating that Bitcoin’s bull market is on the verge of its final stage. The cryptocurrency briefly surpassed $124K earlier this month before experiencing a decline, temporarily dipping below $109K as momentum faltered. However, historical data suggests the current cycle is 93% complete and points to a potential blow-off top between late October and mid-November 2025.
This aligns with previous bull market cycles where peaks were recorded after extended periods. Crypto analyst referenced past bull runs in 2010-2011, 2011-2013, 2015-2017 and 2018-2021. These cycles lasted for 350 days, 746 days, 1,068 days and 1,061 days respectively.
The current cycle has already spanned around 1,010 days and is expected to peak during October 19-November 20, 2025, following the April 2024 halving event. This aligns with post-halving peaks traditionally occurring between 366-548 days after the event.
The Post: Bitcoin Slows Down, But Fall 2025 Could Ignite Its Biggest Rally Yet