Kevin O’Leary: December Interest Rate Cut Will Not Impact Bitcoin

Financial expert and investor Kevin O’Leary believes that the anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December 2025 will have little effect on Bitcoin’s price trajectory. He argues that the market is currently experiencing stability, and it’s unlikely to experience meaningful gains without a new catalyst. His assessment is based on several factors: persistent inflation remains a significant challenge for policymakers, preventing them from considering rate cuts; and the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate emphasizes keeping inflation under control while maintaining full employment. This leaves little room for a premature interest rate cut according to O’Leary. 5-7% volatility is his outlook in BTC market. He also notes that traders are heavily positioned for a December rate cut, expecting the Fed to loosen policy before year-end. However, O’Leary disagrees with this expectation due to Bitcoin market dynamics. He argues that the traditional link between rate cuts and Bitcoin price increase has become less significant in recent cycles. 2025 will be different. He anticipates a more stable Bitcoin trading range around $91,000 in the short term. O’Leary believes Bitcoin is maturing beyond its dependence on macro shocks, becoming more resistant to dramatic swings driven by Federal Reserve decisions. As investors await the Fed’s decision on December 2025, his viewpoint underscores a growing divergence between traders expecting short-term effects and those who see Bitcoin transitioning into a steadier phase. He expects BTC to remain relatively stable despite any Federal Reserve action.