The White House predicts the largest ever tax refunds in 2026, fueled by expiring Trump-era tax cuts and shifts back to pre-2017 tax brackets. This potential windfall is anticipated to result in larger refund checks for taxpayers filing in 2026, but experts warn that this may be a temporary boost. The changes come after the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) lowered income taxes and boosted standard deductions, designed to sunset after 2025. The expiration of these provisions is expected to result in rate increases for individuals, but adjustments to some deductions and credits could create a temporary surge in overpayments leading to larger refunds. However, the long-term impact on tax burdens remains uncertain.