A new forecast from the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) suggests that the U.S. economy will experience slightly faster growth next year, although job creation is expected to remain modest. The survey reveals a median prediction of 2% economic growth for 2026, up from the previous 1.8%. This forecast anticipates increased personal spending and business investment as key drivers of this positive shift. However, nearly all economists agree that new import tariffs implemented by the Trump administration will likely slow down growth by at least 0.25 percentage points. The report emphasizes ‘tariff impact’ as a significant downside risk for the U.S. economy.