Polymarket Forecasts U.S. Government Shutdown Resolution Probabilities

Data from Polymarket suggests a 40% chance that the U.S. government shutdown will end between November 8th and 11th, with a 45% probability of resolution occurring between November 12th and 15th. Lastly, there’s a 17% likelihood of resolution happening after November 16th. This prediction comes on the heels of U.S. President Donald Trump advocating for an end to the shutdown and launching a policy to provide $2,000 per person to affected citizens.