Is the Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Over? Exploring Market Trends Instead

For years, Bitcoin’s market performance was often predicted using a 4-year cycle. This pattern, linked to Bitcoin halving events, consistently delivered bullish periods every four years. However, this established rhythm might be breaking down. Why? Global liquidity—not time—is now driving the market’s direction. The U.S. Federal Reserve’s recent easing of monetary policy signals a new phase where increased liquidity could shape Bitcoin’s price movement more than ever before. 2026 may mark the peak year for Bitcoin, according to some analysts who are focusing on liquidity trends rather than traditional cycles.