Shutdown Fears: US Government Impasse Predicted to Last Over Ten Days

Experts predict the current U.S. government shutdown could last over ten days, according to prediction market data from BlockBeats. Contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket platform suggest a 63% probability of a shutdown lasting longer than ten days. These platforms also indicate that contracts predicting a shutdown extending beyond October 15th have a 40% chance of being fulfilled, while contracts predicting a shutdown ending between October 10th to 14th have a 34% probability of fulfilling.