Betting on a Bitcoin Peak in Q4: A Costly Miscalculation?

Bitcoin analyst PlanC challenges the prevailing belief that history will repeat itself, arguing that traders are overconfident in expecting Bitcoin’s market peak to align with past halving events. He compares this mindset to a gambler assuming coin toss outcomes remain consistent after multiple flips. Given only three previous halving cycles for analysis, he believes current data is insufficient to justify certainty about the precise timing of the market peak.