U.S. Employment Report Expected to Show Moderate Job Growth

The U.S. is set to release its August non-farm payroll report this Friday, with expectations for a moderate job growth rate. A recent Wall Street Journal survey of leading economists predicts the addition of 75,000 jobs last month, while the unemployment rate could climb from 4.2% to 4.3%, signaling a near four-year high. Bill Adams, Chief Economist at United Bank, believes a moderate job growth report alongside a slight increase in unemployment would be ideal for financial markets, suggesting an economy not yet in recession, yet indicating sufficient labor market weakness that could justify a Federal Reserve rate cut. Conversely, a decline in employment numbers, drop in labor force participation, and a decrease in the unemployment rate would pose a challenge to the Fed, as it could indicate diminished labor supply alongside weaker labor demand.