Fed Rate Cut Odds Surge: Is September 2025 Event Likely?

The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut at the September 2025 FOMC meeting has surged to an unprecedented 87.4%, signaling a significant shift in market sentiment. This sudden spike follows recent economic data suggesting that inflation might be slowing down. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) has stabilized after reaching its highest point of 6.8% in November 2021, offering a glimmer of hope for the US economy. The market is keenly awaiting the upcoming FOMC meeting on September 16-17, 2025, as decisions made at that time could significantly impact global financial markets and investment plans.