Is Bitcoin’s Cyclical Model Over? Industry Leaders Question the Future of Its Four-Year Cycle

Industry experts are raising eyebrows about Bitcoin’s traditional four-year market cycle, suggesting its predictability might be ending. Key drivers for this potential shift include a surge in institutional adoption and evolving market dynamics driven by supply changes. 2025 could mark a significant turning point for Bitcoin as seasoned players believe the historic pattern is outdated. Charles Edwards of Capriole Investments points to structural shifts following Bitcoin’s April 2024 halving, where institutions are now playing a more prominent role. This suggests that Bitcoin’s supply dynamics have begun to resemble patterns seen in previous eras, challenging the traditional understanding of its market cycles. Institutional investments through ETFs like the ones accumulating in Bitcoin treasuries by top firms act as mitigating factors against volatility, potentially transforming the market’s cyclical nature. 2025 is expected to mark a critical shift in Bitcoin’s behavior. Data on-chain reveals diminished supply shocks and growing institutional influence, further signifying a potential realignment of market dynamics.