Ripple ETF Approval Probability Plummets: Polymarket Unveils July Outlook

Polymarket, a platform for real-time prediction of market events based on user sentiment, reveals that the chances of an XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) getting approved by July 31, 2025, have drastically decreased to just 22%. This substantial decline of 31 percentage points suggests traders believe an SEC approval is unlikely in the near term. Initial optimism peaked at over 60% in December and January but has steadily declined since then.