India-Pakistan Tensions Climb to 41% Probability as Polymarket Odds Surge

Geopolitical tensions between India and Pakistan have taken center stage, prompting the probability of an Indian invasion to surge on the Polymarket platform. With a prediction of a 41% likelihood by April 28th, 2025, this event has significant implications for both nations’ financial markets. The increase in Polymarket odds from 10% to 13% within days reflects growing concerns amidst recent heightened tensions following a deadly attack.