Trump’s Bitcoin Plan: Kalshi Predicts 50% Chance of National Reserve

A potential major shift in U.S. financial policy is brewing as speculation regarding President Trump’s plan for a national Bitcoin reserve intensifies. On March 6, 2025, the President signed an Executive Order establishing a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve and a U.S. Digital Asset Stockpile, marking an important step towards integrating digital assets into American finance. However, this reserve currently manages Bitcoin obtained through asset forfeitures in criminal and civil cases. 2025 will see if this expands as Kalshi, a prediction market, predicts a 50% chance that Trump will further establish a National Bitcoin Reserve in the year. This hypothetical reserve would hold Bitcoin not acquired through confiscation, potentially including other cryptocurrencies. Importantly, the contract for this reserve requires full functionality and operationalization, not just an announcement.