US Recession Odds Surge to 60% as Polymarket Signals Growing Economic Uncertainty

A surge in economic uncertainty has pushed the probability of a US recession by 2025 to 60%, according to prediction market Polymarket. This sharp increase follows concerns from investors and analysts regarding mounting macroeconomic risks. Polymarket’s prediction has tripled since early March, escalating from just 20% to the current 60%. Notably, over $2.48 million in trading volume on the platform indicates substantial participation from investors concerned about future economic conditions.