U.S. Recession Risk Grows Amidst Tariff Concerns

The likelihood of a U.S. recession by the end of 2025 has risen to 61%, according to traders using the Kalshi prediction market. This follows President Trump’s signing of significant tariffs on April 2nd, which has sent shockwaves through financial markets. The market downturn is closely tied to these new tariffs, as they have triggered a sell-off in stock markets and raised concerns about an extended bear market.