Kalshi Predicts 61% U.S. Recession Risk in 2025

Kalshi, a prediction market platform, has issued a forecast predicting a 61% chance of a US recession in 2025. This assessment is based on various economic indicators and models analyzed by analysts closely watching the market’s progress. Market participants, including Kalshi traders, identified potential signs of an economic slowdown due to factors such as inflation and global geopolitical tensions. These factors have prompted investors and policymakers to reassess their portfolios.